Apocalypse when? : calculating how long the human race will survive
Disaster victims Human beings Human ecology Probability measures Science Science: Astronomy sähkökirjat
Published in association with Praxis
2009
EISBN 9780387098371
Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; Figures; Pictures; Tables; Algebraic symbols; Abbreviations and acronym; About the author; Introduction; 1 Formulation; 2 Confirmation; 3 Double jeopardy; 4 Human survivability; 5 Apocalypse how?; Appendix A Survival formula derived from hazard rates; Appendix B Posterior survivalitity; Appendix C Infinite mean duration; Appendix D Survival predictor from Bayes' theory; Appendix E Stage productions running on specified dates; Appendix F Extinction rates of prehistoric taxa; Appendix G Disaggregated mortality.
Relies on intuitive probability formulations that are suitable for readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely.
Relies on intuitive probability formulations that are suitable for readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely.
